This product is based on the OVATION model and provides a 30 to 90 minute forecast of the location and intensity of the aurora. Great quick visual to show if auroras are tame or wild. Sunrise 3:41. Auroral Activity. Reports. 3.
Similar to Kp, Hpo expresses the level of planetary geomagnetic activity in units of thirds (0o, 0+, 1, 1o, 1+, 2, ) based on the magnitude of geomagnetic disturbances observed at subauroral . Frequency.
The maximum positive and negative deviations during the 3-hour period are added together to determine the total maximum fluctuation. Sunset 22:02. About 90% of nights in a typical season would have a KP index of between 1-4, with the remainder of nights hitting what are called Geomagnetic storm level. This is a preliminary Kp-index that is updated every minute by the NOAA SWPC with an estimate of the measured Kp of the past 3 hours based on eight ground-based magnetometers around the world. The two maps show the North and South poles of Earth respectively. Lake Superior is one of the best locations for observing northern lights in the Midwest. - Forecasts based on predicted NOAA-SWPC Kp index. Short-term aurora forecast for ABN, North Pole, Alaska, USA, UK . . Those forecasts are not just of scientific interest or handy tools for hobbyists and aurora enthusiasts, they have real impact on affected businesses. Q&A Mini-Course: Introducing the Second Chef- The Near-Earth Space Environment Part 1 - April 10, 2021 at 06:43PM. Good luck! At the time of publication (times updated September 28 at 5:30pm EST, times for September 27 have been removed), the SWPC's 3-Day Forecast projects a minimum of a G1 watch (Kp Index of 5 . - City light texture [5]. Aurora Activity Level 4/10 Aurora borealis activity is currently moderate to low. Courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams Those forecasts are not just of scientific interest or handy tools for hobbyists and aurora enthusiasts, they have real impact on affected businesses. - Map showing how strong the aurora is around the world, based on the SWPC ovation auroral forecast. Activity Level Low. In 2018 there were less than 22 events, while Jan 2014 and Nov 2011 had nearly 150 sunspots each. Winter overalls, hot drinks, bbq dinner, photographer guide, pictures and videos and VAT are included in the tour price. The blue line is the smoothed average. Waxing Moon, 33%. 2 Hour Kp Average. This estimated 3-hour planetary Kp-index consists of 10 values and ranges from 0 to 9. AuroraMap is a live Northern Lights forecast map. The observatories are listed in the order of their geomagnetic latitude (beginning with the highest one). On a scale of 0 to 9, the Kp-index is a measure of predicted aurora activity. The Icelandic Meteorological Office also has an aurora forecast on cloud covers in Iceland to help you find the best place to spot northern lights. Move the slider below the cloud cover map, or click directly on a day or time. The University of Alaska Fairbanks has a visual display of the aurora oval or area of high probability of northern lights along with the KP Index Forecast. 11. The archive is not available . It is designed to measure solar particle radiation by its magnetic effects and today it is considered a proxy for the energy input from the solar wind to Earth. - Find the current KP index and how likely you are to see the Northern Lights in the United States or the rest of the world. 3. Sunrise 3:42. Kp levels of 0-3 will trigger a 15% . UAV Forecast combines weather forecasts, visible GPS satellites, and solar flare (Kp) activity, to produce a comprehensive report and forecast of flying conditions for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles. The Kp index, ranging from 0 to 9 . On average, a Kp level of 8 is reached 100 times per solar cycle of ~11 years, and a Kp 9 only 4 times per cycle. 3 Day Aurora Forecast The KP Index measures geomagnetic activity in the atmosphere; the higher the number, the stronger the geomagnetic activity. Long term Kp forecast. Aurora Forecast. As mentioned previously the Kp-Index ranges from 0 to 9 representing geomagnetic activity on an increasing scale. Kiruna (Sweden) Stackplot (Europe) CANMOS (Canada) Hobart (Australia) More data Info. The Aurora Forecast 3D is a tool to track down where the aurora is located in the sky from any location on planet. Its a guide, but often a false one. Kp numbers increase from 0 to 9, and as the numbers increase, it means how strong the interaction is. Kp-index Aurora forecast. . About 90% of nights in a typical season would have a KP index of between 1-4, with the remainder of nights hitting what are called Geomagnetic storm level. The KP Index measures geomagnetic activity in the atmosphere; the higher the number, the stronger the geomagnetic activity. Solar activity report Sunspot report Geophysical report NOAA SWPC Alerts . Viby (Stockholm) Current Kp Index [-3h] dB/dt [+30m] Current Oval [+30m] Light ; Predicted Solar Wind; Sol; Subscribe; Category: WiKi. Aurora Forecast. Check your possibilities of seeing the Auroras in the next 3 days, with our hourly and daily Aurora Borealis forecast for premier Norwegian Northern Lights destinations.
. 2. Yellowknife has a website where you can see the Aurora . The geomatic activity is measured by a KP index which goes from 1-8. Kp-index The Low, Middle and High Latitude. . - Sky view module to track planets and stars [8]. This is the fastest way to quickly find out what kind of geomagnetic conditions are to be expected over the next 27 days. Geomagnetic storms, (Kp >= 5 or Dst -50 nT) and herewith problems for electrical systems such as power grid systems and gas piplines: (Forecasts of 3-hourly Kp-index and one-hourly Dst-index). GFZ Potsdam official Kp-index. Solar Storm Forecast. Aurora Borealis Forecast for Tuesday October 26 2021 Latest Forecast in 11 minutes the Aurora will be Quiet. The archive is not available for this date. G-Scale. save. - Earth, Sun and Moon textures [6,7]. Producing Aurora Forecasts for Iceland based on Space and Earth weather predictions, including Moonlight and Weather Warnings. So if, say, a KP3 number is predicted, only northern Sweden is likely to see the . Sweden. Solar Events Cal. The KP Index is between 0 and 9, showing the strength of the geomagnetic storms, which result in seeing northern lights. Auroral oval . The brightness and location of the . . Pale green colour more obvious Kp 4 - Active - Bright, constant and dynamic northern lights visible. Kp 1 - Quiet - Aurora oval over Iceland, faint and quiet aurorae visible to the unaided eye low in the northern sky Kp 2 - Quiet - Auroras readily visible and become brighter and more dynamic Kp 3 - Unsettled - Bright auroras visible at zenith. Apostle Islands National Lakeshore featuring 21 .
Kp-index The Low, Middle and High Latitude. Northern lights 220114 Uppsala, Sweden by u . Available in a variety of formats ranging from detailed technical predictions to simple information in laymen's terms. The forecast for the next night (cloudy and low Kp index) wasn't looking good either, so we weren't expecting to see any lights. The KP index is a scale that indicates the strength of the northern lights and can be used to predict how far south the northern lights are visible. Today is 3 minutes shorter than yesterday. 0.97 protons/cm3. This tour is the longest expedition of the northern lights in Swedish Lapland, it takes 6 hours and sometimes we drive long. 27 Day Forecast. . Sunspots. Often, auroras happen with just 30-minutes warning; others speculate multiple-day warnings and peg periods around the spring and fall equinoxes for increases in aurora. share. share. Bt. The forecast of auroral activity at midnight, scale 0 to 9, is shown in the upper-right box. Current Kp-Index, Nowcast & Trend 3-Day Forecast :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2022 Jun 11 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. Norway is one of the best places to experience the Northern Lights. In 1969 . The map of Iceland shows forecast of cloud cover. 500 nT. Moonrise 10:49 (5 July) Moonset 0:22. The larger the value of Kp, the further south the aurora can be seen. Viby (Stockholm) Current Kp Index [-3h] dB/dt [+30m] Current Oval [+30m] Light. The northern lights season begin in re already in August but it is during the coldest darkest months the phenomenon usually appears in all its glory. Aurora Forecast. Kp-index Aurora forecast. Lov, Sweden, was added as Kp-station and consequently Rude Skov and Lv have been weighted by 0.5 each. Map showing how strong the aurora is around the world, based on the SWPC ovation auroral forecast. 0193 - This channel highlights the outer atmosphere of the Sun - called the corona - as well as hot flare plasma. Daylight hours: 18 h 18 min. Shortwave radio broadcasters select antenna patterns based on propagation forecasts -- which part of the world, which audiences they can reach on a certain day and time of day, which affects . The green donut-ring aurora forecast simulation provided by NOAA (I'm in Alaska, USA so that's our go-to).
Using data from magnetometers worldwide alongside social media posts we can estimate where the Aurora Borealis could be seen. The geomagnetic activity index Kp is widely used but is restricted by low time resolution (3-hourly) and an upper limit. Sweden. So if, say, a KP3 number is predicted, only northern Sweden is likely to see the . We do not recommend that tour younger than 15 years old. Help. The green solid vertical line marks the time when the prediction was issued, with the timestamp shown in the header. Q&A Mini-Course: Introducing the Second Chef- The Near-Earth Space Environment Part 1 - April 10, 2021 at 06:43PM. Hemispheric Power. When it reaches Kp5, activity is said to have reached storm level and is also measured using the Geomagnetic G-scale from G1 (minor) to G5 (Extreme). Sunset 22:01. Likelihood of solar storms. The abbreviation Kp comes from the German "Kennziffer Planetarische," which translates loosely as "planetary index number," although it is better known in English as simply the planetary index, and is usually designated as Kp [number from 0 - 9]. Solar Events Cal; Solar Storm Forecast; Mag Sweden. 2 comments. - Includes a 2.4 million star map [4]. Get the forecast for today, tonight & tomorrow's weather for Oslo, Oslo, Norway. - Forecasts based on predicted Kp index estimated by the Space Weather Prediction Centre (NOAA-SWPC). Auroral activity Real-time auroral activity Kp-index Auroral oval Magnetometers Webcams Aurora forecast Moon Phases Calendar. To address this, new geomagnetic activity indices, Hpo, are introduced. These periods are: 0000-0300 UTC, 0300-0600 UTC, etc. A local K index gives you the local effect of a magnetic storm while its average, the Kp, gives you the global version. 79. current # From Space Weather Prediction Center. - Aurora Compass sky view display. The intensity, (brightness), of Northern Lights is measured on the KP scale which ranges from 0-10. SWPC. report. Daylight hours: 18 h 20 min. The 3-hour-index is often slow, and not accurate. Kp Levels - Last 3 Hours Kp Levels - Next Few Hours (Projected) Ovation-Prime Model. Moonrise 9:24 (4 July) Moonset 0:19. These predictions are updated weekly by the NOAA SWPC. The Aurora Forecast 3D is a tool to track down where the aurora is located in the sky from any location on planet. Each bar represents the 3-hour width of the Kp index. North America Europe and Asia South-America and Eastern Pacific Africa and Australia. Hemispheric Power. So 2025 may be looking good if planning a trip. The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index gives us a quick indication of the strongest observed geomagnetic activity over a 3-hour period. The Kp-index forecast is the measurement unit used to indicate the level. Kp-index readings (the global geomagnetic activity index) of six plus indicate the potential to see the northern lights. 3-Day Forecast. Things get very exciting when there is a KP 5, (or Geomagnetic storm level 1), and above. Below youll find the daily maximum expected global geomagnetic . Kiruna (Sweden) Stackplot (Europe) CANMOS (Canada) Hobart (Australia) More data Info. My Aurora Forecast lets you, as written in the App Store: Find the current KP index and how likely you are to see the Northern Lights in the United States or the rest of the world.
Kp forecast The top panel shows predicted Kp in blue (RWC-S) and observed Kp in red (GFZ) over the last three days. North America Europe and Asia South-America and Eastern Pacific Africa and Australia. This shows the current level of aurora activity which can give an estimate of how far south aurora may be seen. And Wisconsin coast also boasts quite a few scenic spots by the water where aurora enthusiasts can see the elusive lights. As Marcel posted, the Kp-index isnt really a great tool. More data. . In the figure above, you can see that the local K index in Kiruna, Sweden rose to 5 from 9pm to 12am, which corresponds to a minor geomagnetic storm level. The 3-hour-index is often slow, and not accurate.
The intensity, (brightness), of Northern Lights is measured on the KP scale which ranges from 0-10. Trend: shows you in a simple way how the next 3 days Kp-Index develops Bz: needs to drop - for aurora to . The outer bar shows the values from NOAA and the inner bar gives you the GFZ values. More data. Sweden (Jan 14, 22) 13. As Marcel posted, the Kp-index isnt really a great tool. Ive been experiencing strong auroras from Gotland, Sweden during Kp 3+, and seen zero activity (even with 30s exposures) during a "MASSIVE G3-STORMING". The spectacle of Aurora Borealis requires dark and partly clear skies. 439. km/sec Sun Spots. Kp-Scale. You can based on this divide the northern parts of the Earth into zones, where Kiruna in the far north is in KP3 and Stockholm is in KP6. Thanks to this data, we can compare the days with KP3 (although in Tromso we can see the Aurora from KP 1'8) with the days when the night lasts more than 4 hours. hide. Miraculously, when I left the hut, I was able to see the auroras dancing in the skies! Facebook Aurora ForecastAurora Forecast. Shortwave radio broadcasters select antenna patterns based on propagation forecasts -- which part of the world, which audiences they can reach on a certain day and time of day, which affects . The Ap index is a daily value on a scale from 0 to 400 to express the range of disturbance of the geomagnetic field. View a list of the best locations to view from right now. If the local K-index is 2 or higher in Kiruna or Abisko you do have a good northern lights forecast and good chance for a great show. NOAA estimated Kp-index. The forecast lead time is the time it takes for the solar wind to travel from the L1 observation point to Earth.
Discount level is set based on the highest Kp level in the current University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute 27 day aurora forecast for Alaska. The Kp-Index and Geomagnetic Storms. This is the 'kp' indicator. Geomagnetically induced currents for one station in Southern Sweden: (30-minute forecasts of GIC). It is obtained by converting and averaging the eight, 3-hour Kp index . of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). Hi/Low, RealFeel, precip, radar, & everything you need to be ready for the day, commute, and weekend! Hopefully your prediction has set you centre stage and just in time for a beautiful performance. Auroral oval . . The dark areas - called coronal holes - are places where very little radiation is emitted, yet are the main source of solar wind particles. Magnetic Field-6.63. It's impossible to predict the aurora accurately, but geomagnetic activity - measured by the 'Kp index' - indicates when the lights are most likely to appear. Solar Events Cal; Solar Storm Forecast; Mag Sweden. Nowcast: a prediction of how the kp index will develop in the next few hours. - 3-day space weather condition forecast as news ticker. Forecasting is all done through an estimated KP Index rating. Posted by 4 days ago. *) After the IGRF Model 'IGRF 10th generation (revised 2005)' and http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/IAGA/vmod/igrf.html In the example figure you can see a very active period from 2003. - Color scaled Kp speedometer. 84% Upvoted. However this global Kp index shown only reached 2. - View a list of the best locations to view from right now. The higher the KP-index the more likely you are to see a big Northern Lights display at a high latitude. . Current Kp Index. The G scale indicates the strength of the storm. save. Clear Skies. Hot active regions, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections will appear bright here. . Aurora forecast for Canada's North with updated aurora forecast (aurora borealis forecast / northern lights forecast). -0.725 nT. However this global Kp index shown only reached 2. As Little . Bz. Its a guide, but often a false one. The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 11-Jun 13 2022 . In 1957, Hartland replaced Abinger, and Fredericksburg replaced Cheltenham. In addition, watch the Abisko Aurora webcam which has updates every few minutes. [4] Bridgman, T. and Wright, E., The Tycho Catalog Sky map- Version 2.0, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center . Auroral activity Unsettled: Predicted max today: 3 at . Full Moon 13 July, in 8 days. Kp-Observatories The sites listed here are those used in the creation of the Kp index, and hence also in the derived ap index. 463.3 km/sec. It is important to understand that this Kp-index isn't a forecast . It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. Kp-Index: We have combined alerts from NOAA and GFZ in the same speedometer. The Kp-index is a planetary index combining the magnetometers values from multiple locations around the world where the K-index only comes from one single magnetometer station. Attached to the last Kp bar is the latest predicted value. Be prepared with the most accurate 10-day forecast for Fairbanks, AK with highs, lows, chance of precipitation from The Weather Channel and Weather.com Kp-index Forecast July 5 2022, 00:00 UTC . The Kp forecast page shows an estimate of the Kp index for the next hour. The Kp-index was introduced by a German scientist named Julius Bartels in 1939. Cameras that are within the dark area can show the polar lights if other conditions are good. Geomagnetic activity, Kp-index. Then watch the short-term forecast for increased activity. The time series are available within the framework of the Nordic Virtual Observatory project. The aurora forecast data is retrieved from NOAA and updates every 5 minutes. In the figure above, you can see that the local K index in Kiruna, Sweden rose to 5 from 9pm to 12am, which corresponds to a minor geomagnetic storm level. The geomagnetic three-hourly Kp index was introduced by J. Bartels in 1949 and is derived from the standardized K index ( Ks) of 13 magnetic observatories. The name Kp originates from "planetarische Kennziffer" (= planetary index). If you are on lower latitude you will need a higher index to see the Aurora in a good way. Ive been experiencing strong auroras from Gotland, Sweden during Kp 3+, and seen zero activity (even with 30s exposures) during a "MASSIVE G3-STORMING". All you need to know is that higher KP = a higher chance of seeing the lights. 2 Hour Kp Max. - Forecasts based on predicted Kp index estimated by the Space Weather Prediction Centre (NOAA-SWPC). Northern lights forecast. Whenever you are home or away, Aurora Alerts (iOS and Android) will notify you if the possibility of seeing the northern lights exists. The optimum level is above three, and you can check this on the Aurora Forecast in Iceland. Interpreting the K-index based on values from Kiruna The K-index is just like the Kp-index, a geomagnetic storm index with a logarithmic scale from 1 to 9. NEW RWC WEB site - src.irf.se 1.369 nT. Aurora Borealis Forecast and Alerts is an app designed to monitor real-time auroral activity and push alert to let you know if there may be aurora borealis (northern lights) visible tonight. At that point, I was about to give up. Aurorae happen; there's no set schedule. 1 comment. The KP-index has a range of 0-9, and, generally speaking, has the following implications for the Northern Lights forecast: The higher the KP-index the further south you can see the Northern Lights. Long term Kp forecast Below you'll find the daily maximum expected global geomagnetic conditions (Kp) for the coming 27 days. Tomorrow will be 2 minutes shorter than today. The Ovation map is created using real time data about solar winds and the interplanetary magnetic field to provide a 30 to 40 minute forecast as to .
The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0-9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. Here you can see Aurora Oval updated every 30 minutes What is the Kp INDEX The Kp-index is the global geomagnetic activity index that is based on 3-hour measurements from ground-based magnetometers around the world. 2. report. Forecasting Northern Lights Sightings. The green areas (Aurora Oval) mark the regions in which you have a good chance of observing the northern lights in the next half hour. hide. Geomagnetic activity, Kp-index. Things get very exciting when there is a KP 5, (or Geomagnetic storm level 1), and above. This oval which expands with more northern lights activity goes over Russia, Finland, Sweden, Norway, Iceland, Faroe Islands, Greenland, Canada & Alaska (Antarctica for southern hemisphere . While the Kp Index is always a useful indicator of the strength of geomagnetic activity in our atmosphere, the Ovation map actually tells us if the Aurora is visible from our current position. You can based on this divide the northern parts of the Earth into zones, where Kiruna in the far north is in KP3 and Stockholm is in KP6. Waxing Moon, 43%. WiKi. In combination with the cloud coverage, the KP index is what you can use to determine if it's a good chance to see the aurora borealis. Solar wind. This collaboration of Troms Geophysical Observatory (), the Finnish Meteorological Institute (), Sodankyl Geophysical Observatory (), and the Swedish Institute of Space Physics intends to achieve a higher degree of effectiveness in observations related to external geophysics and to operate a . Green areas are cloudy and white areas clear skies. A local K index gives you the local effect of a magnetic storm while its average, the Kp, gives you the global version. Viby (Stockholm) Current Kp Index [-3h] dB/dt [+30m] Current Oval [+30m] Light ; Predicted Solar Wind; Sol; Subscribe; Category: WiKi. [4] Bridgman, T. and Wright, E., The Tycho Catalog Sky map- Version 2.0, NASA/Goddard Space Flight . Ratings of 8 or above are very rare, and many of the photos included here were taken at low Kp numbers. Weather permitting, northern lights displays could be visible directly overhead in .